Intro X As most of you probably know I made a serious theory I while back that Tobi is in-fact the Juubi & than I made a not nearly as serious theory about Tobi perhaps being Uchiha Setsuna. Now I'd like to make one more serious guess at Tobi's identity being Uchiha Obito. This is a long standing theory so I'm not going to approach discussing this in the common way this theory is discussed, I.E. talking about the things listed in the above picture or how their name's are anagrams since I believe there are about a hundred theories where this information can already be found [Plus the provided above picture] & the potential counter points to it have already been addressed probably hundreds of times at this point. What I want to focus on instead is why Tobi turning out to be Obito may make sense from a story structure perspective. The Puppet Master X One of the biggest elements of the story thus far is that Tobi acts as the main puppet master. He controlled Nagato who in turn controlled the Akatsuki organization, which is pretty much the source of the Naruto world's problems throughout much of the plot. Later when Nagato was "defeated" he took over the role as active leader, but also seems to be controlling Sasuke to eventually take Nagato's. On top of this Tobi was the one controlling the Demon Fox the night Naruto's parents died. While there are hints that perhaps Uchiha Madara may be the ultimate puppet master even behind Tobi, Kabuto has shed some doubt on this when he tells Madara that Tobi's goals might not completely coincide with his own. Therefore other than the fact that Tobi & Madara worked together at one point & time it's unclear if they are partners or if one is using thee other. However until more information is revealed Tobi can be seen as the main puppet master & it's unlikely this will change before Tobi's identity is revealed, considering that the reveal of his Identity is hinted to be coming at the end of the current Naruto + B v.s. Tobi battle: X The Dramatic Reveal X Ever since Tobi's introduction Kishi has been baiting fans when it comes to his identity. At first Tobi was portrayed the comic relief of Akatsuki, used by Kishi merely to bring some light into the gloomy criminal syndicate that was Akatsuki, but than it was later revealed that Tobi's persona as Deidara's silly partner was merely him feigning stupidity and he was in-fact the mastermind pulling the Akatsuki Leader's strings. After that Kishi revealed him to be Uchiha Madara the embittered rival of the First Hokage & for a while there, there was some question about his identity being that of the Fourth Mizukage, until it was revealed that Tobi or Madara was simply controlling the real Fourth Mizukage with Genjutsu. Finally we are now told Tobi is not Madara & he claims to be no one, though readers are quickly reminded by Naruto that Tobi has to be someone: X So its clear that Kishi wants his readers to keep speculating on the identity of Tobi, he is not content with the option that Tobi is simply a no body in the story. After all Kishi has messed with readers when it comes to revealing Tobi's identity time & time again, there has been so many times where Tobi is about to take of his mask or his mask is about to break, but in the end something prevents this from happening, leading to an anticlimax. Even in recent chapters there blatant examples of this when Naruto headbutts Tobi & than the mask turn out to be adamantium [I guess???] or even more frustrating example of this can be seen in this scene: X Kishi would not toy with Tobi's identity & the Fans to this extent unless he was building up to a major climax, when Tobi's identity is actually revealed, & the only way to avoid Tobi's reveal being an anticlimax is to have Tobi be a character that is shocking & unexpected to readers, but at the same time is a known & fairly well developed character. At this point I'm sure you guys are saying, "Ah but Turrin, what about Pain turning out to be the new character Nagato". This statement is true, but at the same time it's false. Nagato was a relatively new character introduced in the series, but by the time Kishi revealed Pain's true identity to be Nagato, Kishi had already spent several chapters establishing Nagato & giving him a voice and personality as a character via Jiriaya's flashbacks. On top of that while Pain's identity was set up as a major mystery for the character's within the manga, Kishi didn't nearly mindfuck with fans to the extent he has with Tobi. Pain's identity ever since the Nagato flashback & Jiriaya fight was heavily foreshadowed to be Nagato, there were some alternate theories on the part of the fan's, but the most compelling case to be made was overwhelmingly for Nagato to be Pain. This is not the case for Tobi, because Kishi wants fans to be more involved with the mystery of Tobi's identity than in the case of Pain. "Narrowed It Down To The Guy I Recognize" X Due to Tobi being portrayed as the main puppet master and the author spending so much time building up Tobi's unmasking it's more likely that Tobi is a character that fan's will recognize. I'd also like to clarify that i'm not just talking about appearance wise, but recognize in the sense that his character has already been impart established to fan's. Now taking this into consideration there are not many characters that fit this bill. Uchiha Kagami, Elder or Younger Son's of the Sage, Uchiha Setsuna, etc... can automatically be ruled as unlikely. However it doesn't stop there; Uchiha Izuna & Fugeku can also be ruled as unlikely, since while we know a bit about them & their back story their characterization has not been well established within the manga cannon, I.E. we don't see any several chapter flashbacks dealing with their motivation as characters or personality, like in the case of Nagato. In-fact the same thing could be said about Tobi being Juubi, but not entirely & I'll get to why later. Tobi being revealed as any of these characters would ultimately end in an anti-climax because none of the fans really know or care about these characters. Now I suspect people will be saying at this point two things: 1. "I Care about [Insert 1 of the characters here], because I'm interested in there character, techniques, back story, etc..." 2. "These Characters' personality & motivation can be established after the dramatic reveal of them being Tobi" The problem with the first counter argument is that, being interested in a unknown character is not the same thing as caring about that character. I'm interested in that 45 year old Genin back from the Chuunin Exams, but I really don't care about what happens to his character, because there is no reason to care since his character hasn't been established. The problem with the second counter argument is that character's motivations can be exposed after there identity is revealed, but the character himself/herself is never exposed after the reveal. Again I'll use the Nagato example, Nagato's character was established before the reveal, while his motivation was established after the reveal. The same will likely hold true for Tobi. The only character that Tobi could be who hasn't quite been established is the Juubi & this is because the Nine Bijuu are all part of the Juubi, so potentially the characterizations of the other Nine Bijuu such as Shukaku, Kyuubi, & Hachibi could all work as Juubi's own characterization. Now with the suspects narrowed down, who fits the bill of a character fan's would recognize; pretty much the only characters that apply are Obito whose characterization was established in Gaiden, DB II, & partly through Kakashi, Zetsu whose character has been established throughout Part II of the manga, & Juubi whose characterization could be partly established due to the other Bijuu. However out all three of these candidates it seems like Obito is the most natural fit. He has better characterization than the Juubi, yet is not over exposed to the extent that Zetsu has been. To use Nagato as an example again Obito fits perfectly into the same niche as him. Obito had a flashback establishing his character, but even after the dramatic reveal his past would still be interesting to fan's, since like Nagato one would wounder how Obito came to be Tobi. Basically what I'm trying to stress here is in terms of structuring the story to meet the end goal which in this case is a climatic reveal, Obito probably makes the most sense.